Tipping Point Game

Test your instinct against the maths

Would you rather…

Pick the one you’d go for and I’ll show you the maths behind it.

or

Warning — this is just a fun illustration

This game assumes a constant average annual return every year for the whole period, which real markets never actually provide. It ignores sequence of returns risk, tax and fees. It’s here to make a point about compounding, not to give financial advice.

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You picked £0.

The tipping point

The average annual return where both choices are worth exactly the same.

0.0%
Cash & bonds Stock market average Aggressive growth
What either choice is worth after 30 years £0

What that means for your pick

Try your own assumption

Adjust the average annual return below to see which option wins at that rate.

%
Choice Future value Result
Monthly income £0
Lump sum £0

Monthly income Lump sum